← Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Dragon Nest x Home-run Abyssal Heaven Season Regional-Hong Kong
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 30.0% | 15 | 8-7-0 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 48.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 41.1% | -5.1 |
| Water Genbu | 9.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.1% | -9.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.5% | -16.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 4.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.7% | +8.3 |
| Wind Byakko | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -3.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +2.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Neos Tonoris | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Slimes | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.6 |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Kiteshield | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Whirlwind Threads | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Companion Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Advent of the Shenju | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fated Keepsake | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Journey's Beginning | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Byakko's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Craggy Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Balance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseeched Fatestone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |